Wonderful introduction:
Optimism is the line of egrets that are straight up to the blue sky, optimism is the thousands of white sails beside the sunken boat, optimism is the lush grass that blows with the wind on the head of the parrot island, optimism is the falling red spots that turn into spring mud to protect the flowers.
Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "【XM Foreign Exchange Official Website】: Collection of positive and negative news that affects the foreign exchange market". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
The foreign exchange market is like a turbulent ocean, always impacted by multiple factors such as the global economy and politics. For investors, accurately grasping positive and negative news is the key to a steady sailing in this ocean. On September 23, 2025, many important news intertwined, which had a profound impact on the foreign exchange market.
On September 17, local time, the Federal Reserve ended its monetary policy meeting and announced that it would lower the target range of the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4.00%-4.25%. This is the first rate cut in 2025, and there are two more expected interest rate cuts this year. The Fed's interest rate cut usually leads to a decline in the U.S. dollar asset yield, and some international capital may flow to emerging markets. Generally speaking, the US dollar will weaken due to interest rate cuts, bringing room for appreciation to other currencies. After the announcement of the interest rate cut resolution, the US dollar index rose 0.3% on the 19th, closing at 97.644 at the end of the foreign exchange market, indicating that the market has digested its previous expectations of interest rate cuts, but the subsequent US dollar trend is still affected by the Federal Reserve's policy rhythm and the global economic recovery. As of the end of the New York foreign exchange market, 1 euro was exchanged for US$1.1748, lower than US$1.1779 in the previous trading day; 1 pound was exchanged for US$1.3469, lower than US$1.3550 in the previous trading day. 1 US dollar was exchanged for 147.96 yen, higher than 147.95 yen on the previous trading day; 1 US dollar was exchanged for 0.7955 CHF, higher than 0.7927 CHF on the previous trading day, etc. The exchange rates of major currencies against the US dollar fluctuated to varying degrees.
The global economic data recently released showed a clear differentiation trend.In the United States, the unemployment rate rose to 4.3% in August, a record high in the past four years, indicating a weak job market; CPI rose 2.9% year-on-year in August, which was higher than the Federal Reserve's 2% target, but inflation pressures eased. The marginal slowdown in the momentum of economic recovery has shaken market confidence in the US dollar. In other regions, the economic data of some emerging economies performed well, such as the recovery of manufacturing PMI in some countries and the improvement of export data, which attracted international capital inflows and their currencies were supported. For example, due to domestic policy stimulus, economic growth accelerated, and a large influx of foreign capital in an emerging market country, the country's currency exchange rate against the US dollar has continued to appreciate since September.
Geopolitical factors have always been the "black swan" of the foreign exchange market. Recently, tensions in the Middle East have escalated and Israel has been in constant conflict with neighboring countries, which has caused risk aversion to spread rapidly in the market. Investors are seeking safe-haven assets, such as the Japanese yen and Swiss francs, traditional safe-haven currencies, are favored. On September 22, the yen showed signs of appreciation against some currencies, and the market was worried that geopolitical conflict would further expand, affecting global energy supply and international trade, and then impacting the global economy. This uncertainty caused investors to adjust their foreign exchange asset allocation, buy safe-haven currencies, and sell high-risk currencies.
As the king of ehadb.cnmodities, crude oil has a significant impact on the foreign exchange market. International oil prices have fluctuated sharply recently. On September 22, oil prices soared due to the decline in U.S. crude oil inventories exceeding expectations and the escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East, but expectations of increasing production between Russia and OPEC+ have increased, which has caused oil prices to fall rapidly. For oil exporters, rising oil prices will increase their export revenue and increase their currency support; for oil importers, rising oil prices may lead to an increase in the trade deficit and the currency will face pressure to depreciate. For example, a major oil exporter has a strong currency in the foreign exchange market due to rising oil prices and the exchange rate continues to rise; on the contrary, a country with high dependence on oil imports has a risk of depreciation due to fluctuations in oil prices.
State Administration of Foreign Exchange released data on September 19, showing that in August, the supply and demand of my country's foreign exchange market was generally balanced, with a ehadb.cn inflow of cross-border funds of US$3.2 billion, and a surplus of bank foreign exchange settlement and sales of US$14.6 billion, and market expectations were stable. In August, banks settled US$211.8 billion in foreign exchange and sold US$197.1 billion, continuing the surplus trend. At the same time, foreign capital generally bought domestic stocks and bonds in August. The RMB exchange rate fluctuates in both directions under the influence of multiple factors. On the one hand, the domestic economy continues to stabilize and improve, and the industry's "combination punch" of policies such as "anti-involving", promoting consumption, and supporting the development of science and technology innovation industries is put in place to support the RMB exchange rate; on the other hand, external factors such as uncertainty in the global economic recovery and the pace of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut will also have an impact on the RMB exchange rate. Onshore RMB closed at 7.1125 at 16:30 on the 19th, down 46 bases from the previous trading dayPoints, the weekly cumulative increase was 99 basis points, and the night trading closed at 7.1188. The offshore RMB fell 109 basis points against the US dollar to 7.1196.
In general, on September 23, 2025, the foreign exchange market was affected by the interweaving of many positive and negative news. Investors need to pay close attention to key factors such as the subsequent direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, changes in global economic data, development of geopolitical situations, and fluctuations in ehadb.cnmodity prices, and make investment decisions cautiously to cope with the changes in the foreign exchange market.
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